Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000353 0.000396 0.000443 0.000497 0.000559 0.000628 0.000709
2024-12-22 0.000259 0.000317 0.000385 0.000472 0.000582 0.000715 0.000890
2024-12-29 0.000215 0.000279 0.000362 0.000474 0.000627 0.000826 0.001111
2025-01-05 0.000191 0.000262 0.000357 0.000495 0.000693 0.000970 0.001393
2025-01-12 0.000165 0.000235 0.000333 0.000484 0.000711 0.001047 0.001591
2025-01-19 0.000140 0.000207 0.000304 0.000460 0.000705 0.001084 0.001731
2025-01-26 0.000128 0.000195 0.000297 0.000465 0.000742 0.001191 0.001995
2025-02-02 0.000121 0.000191 0.000300 0.000487 0.000809 0.001353 0.002376
2025-02-09 0.000110 0.000178 0.000287 0.000482 0.000828 0.001436 0.002630
2025-02-16 0.000102 0.000170 0.000282 0.000487 0.000864 0.001553 0.002964
2025-02-23 0.000094 0.000159 0.000271 0.000482 0.000882 0.001639 0.003249
2025-03-02 0.000088 0.000153 0.000266 0.000485 0.000916 0.001758 0.003621
2025-03-09 0.000082 0.000146 0.000260 0.000488 0.000950 0.001887 0.004047
2025-03-16 0.000073 0.000133 0.000242 0.000466 0.000934 0.001912 0.004253
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000127 0.000237 0.000469 0.000967 0.002048 0.004739
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000126 0.000240 0.000489 0.001041 0.002283 0.005512
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000118 0.000230 0.000478 0.001046 0.002362 0.005908
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000108 0.000214 0.000454 0.001017 0.002358 0.006089
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000104 0.000211 0.000459 0.001057 0.002525 0.006766
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000104 0.000216 0.000482 0.001140 0.002816 0.007858
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000099 0.000209 0.000476 0.001155 0.002931 0.008461
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000096 0.000207 0.000481 0.001196 0.003122 0.009337
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000092 0.000201 0.000476 0.001211 0.003246 0.010030